There’s new voter analysis data that shows the “God gap” between Republicans and Democrats is bigger than ever before.
In the Cooperative Election Study data compiled by political scientist Ryan Burge, a majority of those who voted for President Donald Trump in the 2024 election reported attending a place of worship at least yearly. According to Burge, 35% reported attending a service weekly.
While that’s a significant drop since 2012, when weekly attendance dropped to around 42% for Republicans, Burge noted that the current weekly numbers haven’t changed much for Republicans during Trump’s three runs for the White House.
In contrast, only 35% of those who voted for then-Vice President Kamala Harris attended a religious service at least once a year. 17% reported attending a weekly service, and about two-thirds of Harris voters said they were attending a house of worship seldom or never.
“Let me put it to you this way: For every Harris voter who attended church weekly in 2024, there were about 4 Harris voters who attended less than once a year,” Burge said. “If that’s not the God Gap, I don’t know what is.”
What’s clear in Burge’s analysis is that the Republican Party is the political party of Christians and evangelicals are very important to the GOP’s electoral success.
“There is no more important voting bloc in the country than evangelicals if you are a Republican,” Burge said. “It’s basically impossible to win any race without their support.”
He added: “The GOP vote is 80% Christian and 17% non-religious. The Democratic vote is 48% Christian and 45% non-religious. That’s the God gap.”
He cautioned both parties to take heed of the analysis, or they will could face what he calls “a big structural problem in the future with their respective bases."